SPX Completes Cycle started in 2014

Discussion in 'Stock Market Forum' started by ajaskey, Jan 16, 2016.

  1. ajaskey

    ajaskey Member

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    As above so below...

    spx-cycle-2014.jpg
     
  2. ajaskey

    ajaskey Member

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    Move up was 49 trading days which is within Gann's range (42-49) for a final blow-off of a bull market.
     
  3. ajaskey

    ajaskey Member

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    Another Longer Term Cycle

    Just for fun... here is the cycle of the tops in the SPX.

    spx-cycle-tops.jpg
     
  4. baudwalk

    baudwalk Senior Investor

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    Interesting. From your analysis, where do you expect to find the SPX support level? I can't imagine value investors would let it crash to the 1400-1500 area. :(
     
  5. ajaskey

    ajaskey Member

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    I expect we are in a bear market for the next 6-24 months. The 1400 level is what I have been looking at but I don't think it will happen quickly. This could change with an announcement of a new QE event. Don't fight the central banks...
     
  6. ajaskey

    ajaskey Member

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    The square of the 2009- move shows price at 1400 in 2018. The path to get there is the big question...

    spx-cycle-2009.jpg
     
  7. baudwalk

    baudwalk Senior Investor

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    I don't pretend to be a knowledgeable chartist nor do I trade on technicals, but I do watch and listen and try to understand the chartists' logic. Thanks.
     
  8. ajaskey

    ajaskey Member

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    Just so you know, I currently own some QQQ for a nice bounce. I believe we are in a bear market but the bounces can be significant. I trade mostly ETFs based on my view of market conditions. I got short biotech, emerging markets, and financials over Christmas (short by going long inverse ETFs). I closed those positions last week.
     

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