Daily Market Analysis By Fxopen

Discussion in 'Forex - Currencies Forums' started by FXOpen Trader, Oct 19, 2021.

  1. FXOpen Trader

    FXOpen Trader Senior Investor

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    GBP Awaits Bank of England Verdict: Volatility Ahead?
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    GBP/USD

    In the first half of the current trading week, the GBP/USD pair has confidently stayed above the significant range of 1.2700-1.2650, continuously attempting to resume its upward trend. Today, everything could change. Depending on the outcome of the Bank of England meeting and the market's reaction to the officials' decision, the pair could either strengthen to 1.2860 or fall to 1.2600. Additionally, we cannot rule out the possibility of the pair continuing its sideways movement, which it has been in for over four weeks.

    What do experts expect from today's Bank of England meeting:

    • The interest rate is expected to remain at 5.25%.
    • The number of votes for a rate cut is expected to be 2, and for the rate to remain unchanged, 7.

    Therefore, if any officials change their stance and the current balance shifts dramatically, volatility in the pound could sharply increase.

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    TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

    Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
     
  2. FXOpen Trader

    FXOpen Trader Senior Investor

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    SNB Unexpectedly Lowers Interest Rate from 1.50% to 1.25%
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    Today, it was announced that the Swiss National Bank (SNB) decided to lower the interest rate to 1.25%. According to ForexFactory, the analyst consensus had expected the rate to remain at 1.50%, making this decision a surprise.

    According to SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan:
    → Inflation in Switzerland is decreasing;
    → In recent weeks, the Swiss franc has significantly strengthened due to geopolitical tensions, and the SNB is prepared to be active in the Forex market if necessary.

    The market's reaction to the SNB's decision and the statements from its chairman resulted in a sharp weakening of the Swiss franc. Specifically, the USD/CHF rate rose by approximately 0.7% in the first few minutes.

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    TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

    Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
     
  3. FXOpen Trader

    FXOpen Trader Senior Investor

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    Market Analysis: Gold Price and Crude Oil Price Turn Green
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    Gold price started a fresh increase above the $2,335 resistance level. Crude oil prices are gaining bullish momentum and might rise toward $82.50.

    Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil Prices Analysis Today

    • Gold price started a decent increase from the $2,300 zone against the US Dollar.
    • A connecting bullish trend line is forming with support near $2,345 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
    • Crude oil prices rallied above the $79.00 and $80.00 resistance levels.
    • There is a key rising channel forming with support at $80.85 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.

    Gold Price Technical Analysis

    On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price found support near the $2,300 zone. The price formed a base and started a fresh increase above the $2,320 level.

    There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $2,335. The bulls pushed the price above the $2,350 resistance zone. Finally, the bears appeared near $2,365. A high was formed near $2,365.43 and the price is now consolidating gains.

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    TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

    Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
     
  4. FXOpen Trader

    FXOpen Trader Senior Investor

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    The Price of Gold Reached a Two-Week High
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    As shown on the XAU/USD chart, this morning the price of gold exceeded $2360 per ounce (approximately +1.5% since the start of the week).

    According to Reuters, the increase in the price of gold was driven by:

    → Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
    Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah warns of an "all-out war" if Israel launches a full-scale invasion against the Lebanese militia after concluding a military cooperation agreement with Cyprus, with Cyprus potentially becoming a target for Hezbollah.

    → Expectations of a decrease in Fed interest rates.
    ANZ Research analysts note that the latest US economic data has shown improved conditions for the Fed to lower rates. High rates typically reduce the attractiveness of gold bars, which do not generate income.

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    TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

    Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
     
  5. FXOpen Trader

    FXOpen Trader Senior Investor

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    Natural Gas Price: Bullish Trend Weakens
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    Forecasts of a hotter summer, published during April and May, led to a sustained bullish trend in the natural gas market, as this commodity is heavily used for air conditioning.

    Specifically:
    → The XNG/USD chart indicates that from 1st April to today, the price of natural gas has increased by more than 55%.
    → According to Bloomberg, there is a 61% chance that 2024 will be the hottest year on record, surpassing 2023.
    → Natural gas supplies may be unstable due to an unforeseen maintenance shutdown at the Freeport plant.

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    TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

    Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
     
  6. FXOpen Trader

    FXOpen Trader Senior Investor

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    Watch FXOpen's 17 - 21 June Weekly Market Wrap Video

    Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: Nasdaq 100 Index, GBP, SNB Interest rate, Brent Crude Oil

    Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights.

    • Nasdaq 100 Index Reaches 20,000 points for the First Time
    • GBP Awaits Bank of England Verdict: Volatility Ahead?
    • SNB Unexpectedly Lowers Interest Rate from 1.50% to 1.25%
    • Brent Crude Oil Price Hits Highest Since 1 May

    Stay in the know and empower yourself with our short, yet power-packed video.

    Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen.

    Don't miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions.

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    FXOpen YouTube


    Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

    #fxopen #fxopenyoutube #fxopenint #weeklyvideo
     
  7. FXOpen Trader

    FXOpen Trader Senior Investor

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    S&P 500 Falls from Record High in Anticipation of Key News
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    On Friday, at 15:30 GMT+3, the Core PCE Price Index values will be released – an economic indicator to which the Federal Reserve pays special attention when assessing inflation levels in the US. This event is likely to cause a surge of news in the financial markets, and its anticipation will influence sentiments throughout the week.

    On Monday morning, the S&P 500 Index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) fell to 5465 points after a historical record above 5500 points was set on June 20th. The decline was contributed by Friday’s report from the National Association of Realtors, which showed a drop in existing home sales in May compared to the previous month.

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    TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

    Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
     
  8. FXOpen Trader

    FXOpen Trader Senior Investor

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    USD/JPY Analysis: Rate Rises Above 159.9 Yen per Dollar
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    The yen was last this weak against the US dollar in late April, leading to currency interventions as the Bank of Japan deemed a rate above the psychological mark of 160 yen per USD unacceptable.

    The current weakness of the yen has triggered the usual warnings from Japanese officials against "excessive" volatility, which can be interpreted as a sign of a new wave of interventions.

    It is noteworthy that following the intervention in late April (when the yen strengthened by 4.5% by the first days of May), it took the market less than two months to negate almost the entire effect of the Bank of Japan's actions. This indicates a strong upward trend (shown in blue), driven by the interest rate differential between Japan and the US.

    According to Reuters:
    → The 160.00 level is seen as a red line for the Japanese, considering that yen weakness increases imported inflation and pressures the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to further unwind its ultra-loose policy.
    → The minutes from the latest central bank meeting confirmed extensive discussions about reducing bond purchases and raising rates.

    [​IMG]

    TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

    Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
     
  9. FXOpen Trader

    FXOpen Trader Senior Investor

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    Dollar Declines: How Deep Could the Correction Be?
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    By the end of last week, the American currency traded rather mixed:

    - The USD/JPY currency pair strengthened by more than 200 pips and almost tested the significant resistance level at 160.00.
    - The USD/CAD pair failed to break out of the medium-term flat corridor of 1.3740-1.3620.
    - Sellers of the pound in the GBP/USD pair tried to push through the support at 1.2620-1.2600 but were unsuccessful.

    However, despite recent successes, the upward momentum of dollar bulls began to slow down yesterday. In some directions, we observe a slowdown in the growth of the USD, and in some, reversal patterns have already formed.

    TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

    Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
     
  10. FXOpen Trader

    FXOpen Trader Senior Investor

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    Nasdaq 100 Index Failed to Hold Above 20,000 Points
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    On 18th June, we reported that the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) market had recorded a historic high by surpassing the psychological level of 20,000.

    At that time, we pointed to the upper line of the ascending channel (shown in green), which has been in place since 19th April, as a potential resistance level.

    About a week has passed, and the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart indicates that the price failed to hold above the psychological level and turned downwards from the upper green line.

    One of the drivers of the decline was NVDA shares, which fell by approximately 15% over three trading sessions.

    Meanwhile, Bloomberg quotes Buff Dormeier, Chief Technical Analyst at Kingsview Partners, stating that Nvidia’s share price decline occurred following potentially bullish news:
    → a stock split, making the shares more accessible to a wider range of retail investors;
    → attaining the status of the company with the largest market capitalisation (a status now lost);
    → strong fundamental data related to the company's leadership in the AI-related industry. By some estimates, the company controls about 80% of the chip market needed for AI model development.

    Bearish behaviour of NVDA’s price amidst bullish news is a bearish sign.

    [​IMG]

    TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

    Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
     

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