EUR/USD Analysis: Key Support Zone Resists Selling Pressure Today, fresh monthly values of the PMI index, which is considered a leading indicator of the state of the economy, have become known: France: actual 43.6, expected 46.2. This is the worst economic contraction since the coronavirus. Germany: actual 39.8, expected 39.5. As a reminder, values below 50 indicate a slowing economy. Thus, the PMI witnessed the worsening economic problems in the European Union. And not only. The PMI indicator for the UK also published today was 44.2, which, although higher than the previous value 42.5, is still below 50. The euro immediately reacted to the disappointing news. The exchange rate against the dollar fell to its lowest level in six months. However, then an encouraging recovery followed — apparently, the proximity of the rate to the key support zone had an effect. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Watch FXOpen's 18 - 22 September Weekly Market Wrap Video Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: UK STOCK MARKET RISES, S&P 500 FALLS, OIL ANALYSIS, EUR/GBP Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights. UK stock market rises amid inflation news #UKStockMarket #UKinflation S&P 500 falls amid news from the Fed S&P500 #Fed Oil analysis: Finally, a bearish reversal? #Oil Will stagflation persist in the UK? EUR/GBP volatility may be an indicator #EURGBP #stagflation Stay in the know and empower yourself with our short, yet power-packed video. Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen. Don't miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions. FXOpen YouTube Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. #fxopen #fxopenyoutube #fxopenuk #fxopenint #weeklyvideo
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GBP/USD Nosedives While USD/CAD Aims Higher GBP/USD is gaining pace below 1.2300. USD/CAD is rising and might aim for a move above the 1.3520 resistance zone. Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and USD/CAD Analysis Today The British Pound started a fresh decline below the 1.2500 support zone. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.2260 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen. USD/CAD is showing positive signs above the 1.3400 support zone. There is a major bullish trend line forming with support near 1.3450 on the hourly chart at FXOpen. GBP/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh decline from the 1.2500 zone. The British Pound traded below the 1.2325 support to move into further a bearish zone against the US Dollar, as mentioned in the previous analysis. The pair even traded below 1.2275 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the bulls appeared near the 1.2230 level. A low was formed near 1.2230 and the pair is now consolidating losses with bearish signs. Immediate resistance on the upside is near a key bearish trend line at 1.2260. The first major resistance on the GBP/USD chart is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2421 swing high to the 1.2230 low at 1.2275 and the 50-hour simple moving average. A close above the 1.2275 resistance might spark a decent recovery wave. The next major resistance is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2421 swing high to the 1.2230 low at 1.2325. Any more gains could lead the pair toward the 1.2375 resistance in the near term. Initial support sits near 1.2230. The next major support sits at 1.2200, below which there is a risk of another sharp decline. In the stated case, the pair could drop toward 1.2120. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Economic calendar: NASDAQ 100 May Keep Falling, High Volatility in Oil Markets, Potential Appreciation of the US Dollar The US, Japan and the UK may have kept interest rates on hold last week, but with the Federal Reserve indicating that rates will stay higher for longer, there is turmoil in the equity markets. The NASDAQ 100 fell 500 points last week, and with weakness continuing into this morning's trading session, the volatility looks like it will continue throughout the week. US durable goods orders (15:30 Wednesday) is the first meaningful economic release of the week. After a terrible -5.2% in July, analysts are expecting a modest decline of -0.4% for August. The final reading of US Q2 GDP is expected to show an increase to 2.2% when it is released on Thursday (15:30), as the US economy continues to tick over at a steady rate. This could give the US dollar a further boost. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Financial Markets Waking Up after a Turbulent Week: Important News The main event of last week was information from the Fed. Jerome Powell once again demonstrated his determination to maintain a tough political stance, which caused: → increase in bond yields. Yields on 10-year securities reached their highest since 2009; → the dollar index jumped to its highs of the year; → stock markets fell — especially NASDAQ. This increases the belief that the AI boom has run its course. The resilience of the Dow Jones index indicates that investors are preferring more defensive assets; → fall of cryptocurrencies. At the same time, the price of bitcoin returned to the flat range in which it was at the end of August. Thus, the wave of positivity associated, among other things, with rumours that the head of the SEC wants to approve applications from funds to launch a crypto ETF, has exhausted itself. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
US Dollar On the Rise Despite Weak PMI Data EUR/USD The euro fell against the US dollar on Friday as economic data showed a contraction in economic activity, which could prompt European Central Bank hawks to soften their policy stance. Preliminary data indicates a contraction in economic activity in the eurozone's two largest economies, France and Germany. France's HCOB purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the services sector fell to a 34-month low in September, well below forecast, while Germany's PMI rose to 46.2 but below economists' forecast of 47.2. With inflation still high in the eurozone and at risk of rising, the ECB's next move could be to raise rates before rate cuts are on the agenda, several policymakers said on Thursday. The immediate resistance can be seen at 1.0663, a breakout to the upside could trigger a rise towards 1.0702. Immediate support is seen at 1.0623, a break below could take the pair towards 1.0579. The previous ascending channel remains. Now, the price is in the middle of the channel and can continue its horizontal movement. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Rising Bond Yields Are Driving Down Price of Gold The yield on 10-year bonds exceeded 4.5% per annum – a 16-year high. The demand for them was promoted by: → tough statements from the Fed last week that the high base interest rate will remain as long as necessary. Moreover, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said he expects another increase; → concerns related to the likelihood of a US government shutdown on October 1. At the same time, Moody's issued a stern warning, jeopardizing the country's triple-A rating. It can be assumed that investors choose bonds when forming a portfolio of protective assets. This puts pressure on the gold, which “loses its shine” in their eyes. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USD/JPY Analysis: For the First Time This Year, the Rate Exceeds 149 Yen Per Dollar The reason for the stable trend, as we have repeatedly pointed out, is the difference in the monetary policy of the USA and Japan. Inflation in Japan has been above 2% for more than a year, and the media are increasingly publishing expert opinions that the Bank of Japan will raise short-term interest rates from the current -0.1% at the end of this year. However, today Reuters published the opinion of Mr. Makoto Sakurai, the former head of the Bank of Japan. According to him: → the Bank of Japan may delay ending negative interest rates until around April next year; → the abolition of negative rates, which have been in place since 2016, will not harm the economy; → uncertainty about the economic prospects of the United States and China also gives the Bank of Japan a reason to delay raising rates, Sakurai added. That is, the existing gap in monetary policy may continue for another six months, which will push the USD/JPY rate higher and higher. And it is not surprising that, as the chart shows, today the rate exceeded 149 yen per US dollar for the first time in a year, further increasing the likelihood of reaching the psychological level of 150 yen. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
US Federal Reserve Contemplates Future Interest Rate Hikes Amid Economic Resilience In an intriguing turn of events, the US Federal Reserve has hinted at the possibility of yet another interest rate hike in the near future, keeping financial markets on their toes. During its September 2023 meeting, the Federal Reserve chose to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at an impressive 5.25%-5.5%, a level not seen in 22 years. This decision was in line with market expectations and followed a 25 basis-point hike in July. What piqued the interest of investors and economists alike, however, was the central bank's signal that another rate increase might be in the cards before the year's end. The Federal Reserve's projections, as revealed in the dot plot, suggest the likelihood of one more rate hike in the current year, followed by two rate cuts in 2024. This cautious approach is in response to recent economic indicators, which point to robust expansion in economic activity. While job gains have slowed in recent months, they continue to exhibit strength, and the unemployment rate remains impressively low. On the surface, this move may seem counterintuitive, especially when considering that inflation in the United States has been well-contained for over a year and stands at less than half the levels witnessed in certain parts of the European Union. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
