Ebola? ISIS?! What's REALLY Behind Wall Street’s Volatility?

Discussion in 'Stock Market Forum' started by GoldenPhi, Oct 22, 2014.

  1. GoldenPhi

    GoldenPhi Member

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    Ebola? ISIS?! What's REALLY Behind Wall Street’s Volatility?

    By Ed Butowsky
    From the Front Lines
    Published October 22, 2014FOXBusiness

    Pop quiz:

    In the past month the Dow Jones Industrial Average has swung from a high of 17,210.06 on Sept. 24, to a low of 16,117.24 on Oct.16. Although the numbers aren’t dramatic, the intraday trading has been extreme at times.

    This wild fluctuation can be attributed to:
    a. The Ebola crisis.
    b. The Islamic State’s surge in Iraq and Syria.
    c. The upcoming midterm elections.
    d. None of the above.
    e. It’s a stupid question.

    Time’s up. The correct answer is d, none of the above. Bonus points if you also picked e, because, yes, it is a stupid question.
    I’m always amazed when the stock market tanks – and when it surges, too – that the “experts” feel they need to assign reasons for the swing that truly have no rational thinking behind them.

    One morning last week, as stocks were tumbling, I kept hearing that the selloff was due to the Ebola scare. A Liberian man had died in a hospital in Dallas, two people who worked in the hospital had become infected, and Wall Street was the greatest casualty. But a few hours later the market had rebounded, and suddenly people were saying its 180° change was due to one person at the Federal Reserve insinuating that we might need more stimuli.

    Wrong before and wrong after. Just plain dumb and dumber. For whatever reason, the talking heads feel compelled to assign “logical” reasons for the market’s wild fluctuations. But every one of their explanations absolutely ignores what’s really behind Wall Street’s volatility: computer-generated models that ignite sell and buy programs faster than the blink of an eye.

    It is hard to comprehend the degree to which today’s stock market minute by minute moves are controlled by computers. Break points, support levels, resistance levels, upside-down shoulder patterns, cup and handle formations … The computers crunch the numbers, hit their support and resistance levels, buy and sell according to their programming algorithms – and the market follows.

    So last week the market finally corrected what had been a joyride for most of the year, and everybody decided to blame Ebola. But think about that for a moment. Ebola right now has zero economic impact on the earnings of any industry. The explanation may sound good, but it has no rational thinking to support it.

    More and more I’m finding that my friends in this industry are trying to explain things in terms people will understand. Whether it’s accurate or even makes sense appears to be irrelevant. Anybody who says – or even thinks – Ebola or ISIS or the midterm elections or anything else can cause minute-to-minute or hour-to-hour fluctuations in the stock market is just flat-out wrong.

    There isn’t a single relevant professional in the financial world who believes Ebola was behind the recent downturn. The proof is that Ebola is still out there, and the market is heading north again.

    The professionals know the truth: Fluctuations are just moments in the stock market, and they signal that it’s time to make a move.

    That is how traders think. If they see a trend, they jump on it. When the train reverses, they jump on that.

    That is technical trading at its best and worst.
    ------------------------------------------
    GoldnePhi Note: This is not exclusive to "Ebloa"or "ISIS"'...... but rather all news that is picked to try and explain the market moves. There are literally hundreds of events on any given day that could be chosen to explain a move in the market. 70%+ of the volume in the markets these days is compute traded algorithms (if not more). These are working off the technicals that can be see in the market.
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Jul 8, 2016
  2. troutski

    troutski Guest

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    Why did you link the ENTIRE article? Anyways, the markets are going to do what they do no matter what's going on with Ebola or politics or anything else. I wouldn't say any particular thing is affecting the markets other than regular fluctuations. If Ebola killed 10,000 people unexpectedly, then that would obviously drag on the market. If every company next week reported strong earnings, then things would probably trend upward. No worrying necessary.
     
  3. gmckee1985

    gmckee1985 Senior Investor

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    One single event, especially something as small (in the grand scheme of things) as the Ebola "scare" isn't enough to rattle the markets by itself. It would take something like a massive terror attack or an energy crisis to do that. I just think the market is on a course correction at this point. I don't think the markets are shaken up by Ebola alone.
     
  4. caparica007

    caparica007 Well-Known Member

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    I think that there are long arms in Wall Street making everything happen and we will never really know what exactly causes the volatility.
     
  5. downloads

    downloads Well-Known Member

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    It's also earnings season. So traders are playing the market as the earnings reports are coming in.
     
  6. ally79

    ally79 Guest

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    That's not really an accurate statement because if say there were an act of terrorism in the US or even in Europe that would cause (most likely) a dramatic drop in the market. Granted a terror attack is a bigger event, than one man dying of Ebola, but it does show that a single event can have dramatic consequences.
     
  7. moneyman

    moneyman Well-Known Member

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    I believe it is a combo of all these things. Especially whilst Ebola has been in a media a lot recently so people are scaring for their lives even though Ebola is currently booming only in Africa. In conclusion, it is an effect of Ebola and ISIS crisis together.
     
  8. JR Ewing

    JR Ewing Super Moderator Staff Member

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    [video=youtube;hUB44ltVJCA]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hUB44ltVJCA[/video]
     
  9. turt

    turt Guest

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    Of course it has very little to do with anything logical. It's all programed in a way to make someone money and it needs to go down in order for that to be done!
     
  10. Peninha

    Peninha Senior Investor

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    The scientists that were working in nuclear weaponry in the past are not working in the financial markets, so it's an exclusive deal...
     

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