It is surprising the polling has closed so quickly. Granted, it is way early, but still, Hillary was polling significantly higher than the Trumpster. Living in interesting times and all that. From USA Today: Poll: Clinton, Trump 'dead even' in Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania
I wouldn't be surprised if Trump does well in Ohio and Pennsylvania given that portions of both states are coal country. Coal miners, from exit interviews in the West Virginia vote, clearly do not like Hillary. In WV, there were anecdotal comments that those voting in the Democratic primary for Sanders would vote for Trump in November. With Florida, I can't guess but if Rubio were to show up in some way on the Trump team that might tip the vote to the R's. But I am not a prognosticator.
I am by no means a Donald Trump admirer but I'm not too surprised by those poll results. Trump is well known in Florida, and it's an older state so it should be a good state for him to be competitive in. Pennsylvania and Ohio both have a lot of working class voters, so he should be competitive there as well. Where Trump needs to expand his appeal is with suburban moderates and women. If he closes the gap with those two groups he will have a decent chance to win the election. Of course, he could also stand to improve his image among minority groups.
I feel sorry for the Republican's move to stop Trump. When Ted Cruz waved the white flag, defeat was evident inside the Republican fence as if their front runner is not worthy to be a presidential candidate. I am saying this as a hindsight of the Philippine presidential election last Monday when the virtual winner, Rody Duterte, is now unbeatable in the counting and he is now called presumptive president for it is mathematically impossible for him to lose. Duterte was branded Trump of the Philippines because of his impulsive statements like burning the flag of Singapore or banning US and China. Worse, he cursed the Pope last year. But still, he emerged the winner. So maybe Trump will have the same fortune.