For several days I've been all these articles about stocks falling on and after Super Tuesday because investors aren't sure who their next president will be. Who doesn't know Trump and Clinton will win Super Tuesday? Will panicking change anything? Do you think stocks will fall if after Super Tuesday if there's still some doubt as to who will be the presidential nominee of either party?
I don't think Super Tuesday will greatly affect the stock market because it is just a preliminary for choosing candidates and not the actual voting yet. But I guess there will be some minor effects on some stocks particularly stocks related to oil products. That prediction of a Trump for the Republican and Hillary for the Democrat is already a cinch since last week. It is already expected mainly because of the popularity of those 2 candidates. I guess it will be them all the day and the big fight will be in November.
Quite the opposite. I think the effect will be minimal, and only take effect AFTER today. As we have seen the rise has been unusually good. Tomorrow will be the interesting day, but probably not as volatile as you might expect.
In a country like the US, whoever is or will become president doesn't really have much effect on things like valuations of large companies. Things like taxes and regulations can have eventual consequences, but things like cheap money in a fragile economy (at least in the short term) or real and significant private sector growth in a booming economy have much greater effects on markets.
