Tpnef - Cub Energy Inc.

Discussion in 'Penny Stocks' started by Jon Alba, Apr 24, 2019.

  1. Jon Alba

    Jon Alba Senior Investor

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    From The March 2019 Company presentation, KUB has 6 projects on the go. If all work out as planned, the upside is tremendous here. See info below:

    http://www.cubenergyinc.com/_resources/corporate-presentation.pdf

    Uzhgorod Licence –Western Ukraine
    U Field: Asset Overview
    W.I. 50% owned by Cub
    Operator Joint
    Contract 20 year special production permit (expires 2036)
    Status No current production
    Area 75,000 acres
    Highlights
    ▪ The Company partnered with a Slovakian based company with
    extensive experience in E&P
    ▪ The partnership included a sale of 50% ownership in Uzhgorod.
    Pursuant to the agreement, the partner is to:
    – Pay Cub €1.5 million (paid)
    – Fund a 100 square kilometer 3D seismic survey (completed)
    – Fund the drilling and tie-in of the first three wells (2019)
    ▪ The licence is on the border with Slovakia, Hungary and Romania.
    Adjoining producing or past producing fields
    Work Plan
    ▪ Plan is to drill up to three exploratory wells in mid 2019

    O Field – Eastern Ukraine
    O Field: Asset Overview
    W.I. 35% owned by Cub
    Operator KUB-Gas
    Contract 20 year special production permit (expires 2032)
    Status Producing
    Area 22,000 acres gross
    Highlights
    ▪ Recompleted the O-9 well in Q2 2018 and put into production at a
    stable rate of 1.7 MMcf/d since June.
    ▪ Recompleted the O-3 well in Q4 2018 and put into production at a
    stable rate of 1.4 MMcf/d since October.
    ▪ Multiple other recompletion opportunities exist.
    ▪ 100% success rate on five O wells prior to 2107
    – All five wells tied in for commercial production
    ▪ Successful fracture stimulations performed in prior years
    Work Plan
    ▪ 2019 work plan will include several recompletion candidates.

    M Field – Eastern Ukraine
    M Field: Asset Overview
    W.I. 35% owned by Cub
    Operator KUB-Gas
    Contract 20 year special production permit (expires 2032)
    Status Producing
    Area 18,000 acres gross
    Highlights
    ▪ Upgraded processing facility brought on line and boosts throughput
    capacity
    Work Plan
    ▪ 2019 work plan will include several recompletion candidates

    West O Field – Eastern Ukraine
    WO Field: Asset Overview
    W.I. 35% owned by Cub
    Operator KUB-Gas
    Contract 20 year special production permit (expires 2035)
    Status No current production
    Area 111,000 acres gross
    Highlights
    ▪ The licence immediately offsets the O and NM licences
    ▪ It surrounds (but does not include) the existing Druzhelyubovskoe gas/condensate field,
    which has produced gas from the same zones that produce in the O and M fields.
    ▪ Completed 26 km of 2D seismic in 2016; Completed150 km 2D seismic survey in 2017.
    Interpreting results to identify drill targets.
    Work Plan
    ▪ 2019 work plan to include 3D seismic survey to evaluate new drill targets

    RK Field –Western Ukraine
    RK Field: Asset Overview
    W.I. 100% owned by Cub
    Operator Cub
    Contract 20 year special production permit (expires 2030)
    Status Producing nominal amounts
    Area 2,000 acres
    Highlights
    ▪ Ordered a new Nitrogen Rejection Unit
    ▪ Goal of resuming material production in 2019
    ▪ During 2018, the Company began selling a nominal amount of rich
    gas from a deep well to evaluate the Mesozoic formation
    ▪ Adjacent to producing fields in Hungary, Romania and Slovakia

    Stanivske Licence –Western Ukraine
    S Field: Asset Overview
    W.I. 100% owned by Cub
    Operator Cub
    Contract 20 year special production permit (expires 2036)
    Status No current production
    Area 31,000 acres
    Highlights
    ▪ Recently granted 20 year production licence
    ▪ A 45 square kilometer 3D seismic survey was acquired by the
    company in 2013
    ▪ Gas was discovered on the field in 1990 by a prior operator
    Work Plan
    ▪ The company is currently evaluating its 2019 work program
     
  2. Jon Alba

    Jon Alba Senior Investor

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    TPNEF Peformance From 2009 to 2018

    [​IMG]
     
  3. Jon Alba

    Jon Alba Senior Investor

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    Cub Energy Inc. Private Placements From 2009 to 2013, all done at much higher prices compared to where the stock trades now:

    Private Placement Dates & Amounts (Does Not Include Shares From Finder Fee's Or Options/Warrants Execised)
    May 12th 2010 - 4,186,664 shares raised at $0.15 for $628,000
    July 21 2010 - KUB.V Acquired Galizien Energy Corp For 4,400,000 shares
    September 28 2010 - 20,035,000 shares raised at $0.25 for $5 million
    October 26th 2010 - 20,000,000 shares raised at $0.40 for $8 million
    November 25th 2011 - 17,500,000 shares raised at $0.40 for $7 million
    March 29 2012 - KUB.V Acquired Gastek for 123,278,089 shares
    December 17 2012 - 31,250,000 shares raised at $0.40 for $12.5 million
    April 26 2013 - KUB.V Acquired Anatolia Energy For 13,900,000 shares
     
  4. Jon Alba

    Jon Alba Senior Investor

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    One well was put into production in Q4 that is averaging 220boed. 10 More wells possible just from just that one location. Then add in their other projects like the JV, NRU, etc.

    Cub Energy recompletes Olgovskoye-3 well in Ukraine

    2018-11-20 07:52 MT - News Release

    Mr. Mikhail Afendikov reports

    CUB ENERGY INC. ANNOUNCES THE SUCCESSFUL RECOMPLETION OF THE O-3 WELL IN EASTERN UKRAINE

    Cub Energy Inc.'s KUB-Gas LLC, owner and operator of the eastern Ukraine licences, has released results of its recent recompletion of the Olgovskoye-3 well.

    Kub-Gas utilized its own workover rig and crew to recomplete a productive gas sand interval designated as the Bashkirian-1b. The well has stabilized at a rate of 1.4 million cubic feet per day since October, 2018.

    Mikhail Afendikov, chairman and chief executive officer of Cub Energy, commented: "The successful O-3 recompletion, coupled with the recent success of the O-9 recompletion in the second quarter of 2018, has increased the total field production by almost 20 per cent. Given the recent successes of the recompletions, their relatively low cost and the high gas price environment in Ukraine at present, Kub-Gas's priority is to focus on additional recompletion candidates, of which at least 10 wells have been identified."

    About Cub Energy Inc.

    Cub Energy is an upstream oil and gas company, with a proven record of exploration and production cost-efficiency in Ukraine. The company's strategy is to implement western technology and capital, combined with local expertise and ownership, to increase value in its undeveloped land base, creating and further building a portfolio of producing oil and gas assets within a high pricing environment.

    We seek Safe Harbor.

    © 2019 Canjex Publishing Ltd. All rights reserved.
     
  5. Jon Alba

    Jon Alba Senior Investor

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    Ukraine Faces a Bleak Winter as Russia Prepares to Cut Off Gas
    The head of Ukraine’s state gas company Naftogaz expects deliveries to stop on January 1, 2020.

    https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2019...nter-as-russia-prepares-to-cut-off-gas-a65496

    If Russia does cut off gas to Ukraine, local producer pricing could easily double given supply/demand metrics. KUB could double their current cash flow and more depending on how many new wells are drilled.
     
  6. longtermbull

    longtermbull Administrator Staff Member

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    Hi @Jon Alba

    How do you find all of these smaller companies?
     
  7. Jon Alba

    Jon Alba Senior Investor

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    A lot of these companies trade on Canadian exchanges, and with more liquidity. But these are the US secondary listings that give American citizens a chance to buy in. In regards to Cub Energy, it's a Houston based company, just dually listed.

    SEDAR is the place to go (like EDGAR) and they have audited and unaudited financials.
     
  8. longtermbull

    longtermbull Administrator Staff Member

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    Do you have links where we can get share price graphs like we do in the Investment Charts sector?
     
  9. Jon Alba

    Jon Alba Senior Investor

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    I just use Stockwatch, charts work and you get access to recent news and financials.
     
  10. Jon Alba

    Jon Alba Senior Investor

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    Cub Energy Inc. Q1 2019 Results. Financials + MD&A – All Information Found On Sedar

    Stock Symbols: KUB – Canada & TPNEF – USA

    Price: $0.06
    Common Shares: 314,215,355
    Insider/Institutional Holdings: 172,466,105 or 55% of common shares
    Options: 15.3 million
    2019 Company Pres: http://www.cubenergyinc.com/_resources/corporate-presentation.pdf?v=1
    2019 Fact Sheet: http://www.cubenergyinc.com/_resources/factsheet/factsheet.pdf?v=1


    Financials – All Numbers Are Expressed In US Dollars. Ending March 31st 2019

    ASSETS
    Cash: $6,958,000
    Dividend Receivable: $1,684,000
    Prepaid Expenses: $702,000
    Trade & Other Receivables: $644,000
    Equity Investments: $8,049,000
    Property & Equipment: $3,749,000
    Non-Current Receivables: 587,000
    Total Assets: $22,373,000

    LIABILITIES
    Trade & Other Payables: $4,382,000
    Loan From KUB-Gas(100% Owned Subsidiary): $ 5,229,000
    Shareholder Loan(current portion): $250,000
    Shareholder Loans (total): $2,000,000
    Provisions: $484,000
    Total Liabilities: $12,345,000

    Asset/Debt Ratio: 1.81

    2017-2019 Performance

    2017 – All USD
    Gas Sales: $24,000
    Gas Trading: $13,099,000
    Royalty Expense: ($7,000)
    Income From Equity Investment: $6,767,000
    Operating Expenses (Total): $34,218,000 - $16 million one time impairment included
    Loss: $14,869,000 – Should have been a profit with one time expense removed

    2018 – All USD
    Gas Sales: $142,000
    Gas Trading: $20,428,000
    Royalty Expense: ($38,000)
    Income From Equity Investment: $6,121,000
    Operating Expenses (Total): $23,573,000
    Income Tax Expense: $2,000
    Foreign Currency Gain: $52,000
    Income: $ 3,130,000

    2019 Q1 – All USD
    Gas Sales: $49,000
    Gas Trading: $4,479,000
    Royalty Expense: ($14,000)
    Income From Equity Investment: $1,522,000
    Operating Expenses (Total): $5,074,000
    Net Income: $962,000
    Foreign Currency Gain: $437,000
    Income: $1,399,000

    2019 Earnings: $1,399,000 X 1.30(CDN Exchange) / 314,215,355 = $0.00578 or $0.006 cents earnings
    *Must convert USD to CDN to get real stock value of KUB.V(Canadian listed)

    Management Discussion Highlights

    Highlights
    • The Company reported income from equity investment of $1,522,000 during the three months ended March 31, 2019 as compared to income of $1,706,000 in the comparative 2018 quarter.
    • The Company reported net income of $962,000 or $0.00 per share during the three months March 31, 2019 as compared to net income of $779,000 or $0.00 per share during the same period in 2018.
    • The Company recorded $1,684,000 in dividends during the three months March 31, 2019 compared with $1,054,000 in dividends in the first quarter of 2018.
    • Production averaged 895 boe/d (97% weighted to natural gas and the remaining to condensate) for the three months March 31, 2019 as compared to 837 boe/d for the 2018 first quarter.
    • Netbacks of $24.49/boe or $4.08/Mcfe were achieved for the three months March 31, 2019 as compared to netback of $25.93/Boe or $4.32/Mcfe for the comparative 2018 period.
    • Achieved average natural gas price of $7.11/Mcf and condensate price of $42.57/bbl during the three months March 31, 2019 as compared to $7.16/Mcf and $60.60/bbl for the first quarter of 2018.
    • Kub-Gas recompleted the Olgovskoye-7 (“O-7”) well during 2019 and it is currently being tested.

    • The Company and its partner plan to drill a three-well exploration program at Uzhgorod in mid 2019, dependent on timing of permitting and weather conditions. To date, the long-lead items for drilling have been delivered and road construction to the drill pads has commenced. The cost of for the first three wells are financed 100% by our partner.
    Eastern Ukraine KUB-Gas Assets (35%)

    Kub-Gas recompleted the O-7 well in 2019 and is awaiting testing. There are approximately ten other wells with “behind pipe pays” that may be attractive recompletion opportunities in the Olgovskoye License. As the currently producing intervals deplete, the production team can recomplete these additional zones in the existing wells. Opportunities such as these generate above average returns for shareholders, particularly given the current gas price in Ukraine. Kub-Gas is also contemplating drilling a new well on the Makeevskoye Licence later in 2019. The Company expects to commence a 3D seismic program later this year should improve the probability of success of future exploration wells.

    Western Ukraine Tysagaz Assets (100% Interest)

    The RK field was temporarily suspended on April 1, 2016 because the nitrogen concentration exceeded the allowable limit stipulated by the gas pipeline operator. The Company is currently selling a modest amount of rich gas from a deep well to evaluate the Mesozoic formation on the RK field. Subsequent to the three months ended March 31, 2019, due to continued delays in the completion of the NRU, the Company and the NRU manufacturer entered into a mutual release agreement, including the release of the arbitration claim, in exchange for the Company taking physical possession of the NRU “as is”. The NRU has been relocated to another manufacturer in the Houston, Texas area and will undergo an evaluation and testing during the summer of 2019 to determine what is required to complete the NRU.

    Western Ukraine CNG Assets (50% Interest)

    The Company and its partner plan to drill a three-well exploration program at Uzhgorod in mid 2019, dependent on timing of permitting and weather conditions. To date, the long-lead items for drilling have been delivered and road construction to the drill pads has commenced. The cost of for the first three wells are financed 100% by our partner.

    Ukraine Gas Prices and Currency

    The Ukrainian exchange, the Hryvnya (“UAH”) rate versus the USD was 27.25 UAH/USD at March 31, 2019, which was relatively flat as compared to the 27.76 UAH/USD at December 31, 2018. During the three months ended March 31, 2019, gas prices realized were $7.11/Mcf which was relatively flat compared to the comparative 2018 price of $7.16/Mcf. The future of natural gas prices in Ukraine is currently subject to a high degree of uncertainty and it is unknown what the future prices the Company will receive on its Ukraine production.

    Commencing August 2016, the Company’s wholly owned subsidiary, Tysagaz, began taking possession of its 35% ownership of gas produced at KUB-Gas. Tysagaz purchased the gas from KUB-Gas at the same price that KUB-Gas sold its gas to an affiliate of the majority shareholder of KUB-Gas. The Company agreed to this arrangement so it could attempt to earn additional net income on the gas sales price sold to majority shareholder’s affiliate. There were impairment charges that impacted net losses in 2017. During the quarter ended December 31, 2017, the Company recorded impairment charges due to the carrying value of its petroleum and natural gas assets exceeding the net present value of expected future cash flows using a discount rate of 26%. The high discount rate relates to the local discount rate in Ukraine and related country risk at that time. During the fourth quarter of 2017, the Company took a $5,300,000 impairment charge relating to the RK field and an impairment on its equity investment in Kub Holdings of $10,700,000.

    Revenue from Gas Sales, Net of Royalty

    The Company began selling a modest amount of rich gas from the RK field in western Ukraine from a deep well (RK-1) in the Mesozoic formation resulting in revenue during the three months ended March 31, 2019 of $49,000 as compared to $nil in the comparative 2018 period.

    Revenue from Gas Trading, Net of Cost of Sales for Gas Trading

    Commencing August 2016, the Company’s wholly owned subsidiary, Tysagaz, began taking possession of some of its 35% ownership of gas produced at KUB-Gas. Tysagaz purchased the gas from KUB-Gas at the same price that KUB-Gas sold its gas to an affiliate of the majority shareholder of KUB-Gas. The Company agreed to this arrangement so it could attempt to earn additional net income from the gas sales price sold to the majority owner’s affiliate. During the three months ended March 31, 2019, the Company recorded $4,479,000 in gas trading revenue and $4,240,000 for the cost of the gas trading for a net profit of $239,000 as compared to $5,670,000 in gas sales and $5,516,000 for the cost of the sales for a net profit from gas trading of $154,000 during the comparative 2018 quarter.


    Outlook

    In eastern Ukraine, Kub-Gas is focused on additional recompletion operations given the success of the O-3 and O-9 recompletions in 2018. The O-7 recompletion was performed in 2019 and is awaiting testing. Three other recompletion opportunities are in the permitting phase. Kub-Gas may drill one additional well in late 2019 on the Makeevskoye Licence and kickoff a 3D seismic program on the WO licence to delineate known structures found from 2D seismic.

    In western Ukraine, the Company and its partner plan to start a three well exploration program in the Uzhgorod license in mid 2019 on structures defined by 3D seismic. The three-well program is to be financed 100% by our partner
     

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