What are the odds?

Yeah, I'm already getting extremely tired of this whole thing... soooo, JR, let's hear some predictions from you. (If you already answered these things in another thread, I'm sorry, and please ignore me... I didn't see it elsewhere.)

New Hampshire... surely they couldn't pull that anointing stuff there and prove all the predictions wrong... Or could they?
#2... who has the better chance to beat her if she's on the November ballot?
#3... who has the better chance to beat Sanders?
#4... Anyone strong enough to beat Trump in New Hampshire?

Let me go out on a limb here... I personally think (it's probably not a popular opinion... I'm obviously not well versed in politics, I know just enough to make an educated choice when it comes to starting to heal this country of ours) that Hillary would be easier to beat. I think Sanders would give any of the Republicans a tighter race.

So how thin *is* that limb I'm clutching onto?

 

It does seem far fetched when I heard about it, not impossible, but I assume all was witnessed independently and someone must have videoed it all. I just wonder why no one has put it online...

New Hampshire is Sander's and Clinton knows that, and she is best concentrating on the swing states.

 

Okay, let me join the fun. I'm still for Hillary and Trump but not for anything else but from what I gather in the newspapers. In fact, I was really surprised when Trump hit the headlines and again with his pronouncements against the illegal migrants particularly the Mexicans. But I guess Trump is still on the right track and Americans still like him a lot despite his bravado. With Hillary Clinton, he has the backing of President Obama so I think she has a good chance of snatching the nomination of the Democratic party.

 

Kasich/RubioVP would beat Hillary easily. The two of them together would flip Florida, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan and Ohio and maybe VA.

Cruz and Trump are just going to have the Romney map.

We will see early tomorrow. Rubio could have beaten Trump, but he f´d up the debate. Now you have all 4 of the establishment guys all going to be at about 13% Christie and Bush need to drop out really soon or Trump is going to win it all.

 

I saw an article about this the other day. Definitely not likely at all. Anyone with any sense can tell the obvious.

 

I'd say that the odds of winning 6 coin flips is better than the odds of a democratic country using a coin flip to decide anything that has to do with who makes the decisions.
Now it just looks like both happened.

 

While as you've all said, it's certainly not entirely impossible but the odds I'd image would be pretty big, to say the least, so to me something seems a bit dubious.

Then again, politicians are dubious anyway, so maybe we shouldn't be that surprised after all?

 

I think Kasich is the only sane candidate on either side personally. Even if Sanders did manage to pull off the nomination..he would end up like George McGovern who for those too young to remember, only won Massachusetts. Hillary I don't favor her, but I would vote for her in place of Trump.

 

At 1/64 the probability of getting 6 heads out of 6 coin tosses is amazing. Just for grins, I looked at one of the oldest and respected computational Internet sites I know of. By the phrasing of a question, Wolfram|Alpha quickly replies with multiple facts, figures and explanations. Recommended for fun and games and curiosity. Running odds of 6 heads with 6 coin tosses produces the 1/64. For amusement, I tried 10 of 10 and the odds increases to 1/1024. To be fair and balanced, the Washington Post published an article that Hillary didn't win Iowa because of coin flips. I'll leave it to you to validate the math as, at this time, what difference does it make? I make it to be 1 delegate.